Saturday, June 20, 2009

Roll low...

As each June comes to a close and the day light hours lengthen and grow, so too does the massive pile of marking that oppresses and mocks me. After a furious week of non-stop marking I'm done. Take that education!

So, as usual, my VASLeague game has been put off to the last minute. You might as well call it the Procrastinator's League.

Anyways, here are some fun dice links for those of you who like math:

1. http://www.nextshooter.com/trueodds - Nice pictorial representation of all the possibilities of rolling two dice.

2. http://boardgames.about.com/od/dicegames/a/probabilities.htm - Short article with the odds of rolling a specific number with two dice.

3. http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/TwoDiceWithHistogram/ - Want to roll a lot of dice and see what happens, without having to literally roll the dice?

4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dice#Probability - Wikipedia has a say.

5. http://www.jimloy.com/math/probabil.htm - Nice concise math explanation.


So, this chart is probably the most interesting one:

2 – 1 – 2.8% - 2.8%
3 – 2 – 5.6% - 8.4%
4 – 3 – 8.3% - 16.7%
5 – 4 – 11.1% - 27.8%
6 – 5 – 13.9% - 41.7%
7 – 6 – 16.7% - 58.4%
8 – 5 – 13.9% - 72.3%
9 – 4 – 11.1% - 83.4%
10 – 3 – 8.3% - 91.7%
11 – 2 – 5.6% - 97.3%
12 – 1 – 2.8% - 100%

The bolded numbers are the probabilities (with bad rounding) of rolling a particular number or less -- very important in ASL!

[Post inspired by the severe beating I received from the prawn in our last C&C: Ancients game -- wow, what a crushing defeat!]

6 comments:

Andy said...

Your probability chart is a lie. I get 10 times for 12's than 2's.

Andy said...

er.. for "for" read "more".

Luke Sineath said...

If you ever get a change to obtain a copy of the '89 Annual, jump on it. There is an amazingly in-depth article on various probabilities and infantry tactics in there.

scrub said...

Do NOT enable my eBay habit.

Luke Sineath said...

I'm sorry, I meant ASL Classic, not the '89 Annual.

It's really good. Mind-blowingly amazing. It might be hard to find anyway though.

Hey, check out my ASL blog sometime if you get bored. It's a new project of mine. I've got an exciting article on Lumberyards in the works!

http://ec-are-moderate.blogspot.com/

scrub said...

Checking it out Luke!